by Ken Clarke
Election campaigns are essentially sales and marketing programs aimed at selling a political party, its plans and objectives, and its personalities to a voting public. As such, it must contain the same elements and employ many of the same methods as any other sales and marketing campaign.
In The Bahamas, political campaigns have traditionally used a slick phrase as the theme of the campaign with little else to support it. The FNM, in my opinion, has led in the marketing thrust of its campaigns over the last five election cycles with more paraphernalia, media ads and yes campaign themes; beginning with “Victory” which was my favourite because of its powerful simplicity.
I was somewhat surprised to see the PLP emerge with undoubtedly its best campaign ever . Beginning with the very powerful series of ads themed “unbelievable, unthinkable” which were not only powerful because they used Mr. Ingraham’s own words and public video but the superb editing which left those words indelibly in the viewers mind like a song which stays in your head all day. This theme also served to counter the FNM’s multi-year strategy of painting the PLP as no different than the FNM and therefore no alternative.
The real winner for the PLP however was its election theme: We Believe in Bahamians. Selling anything is the process by which you somehow implant an idea in the buyers head. You plant it so that the buyer actually believes it is their idea and not yours. That becomes infinitely more effective if you do not try to create a new idea, but utilize one which is already there. This is what the PLP was able to accomplish with “We Believe in Bahamians”. This theme exploited a fundamental belief among many Bahamians that the FNM would act in the interest of the rich, whites and foreigners and provided a foundation upon which the PLP could build so many other ideas which would paint the FNM in a truly negative and anti Bahamian light. Interestingly, the theme was not a negative one. There was no harsh sentiment expressed but the conclusion : “if we are for you the other guys must be against you”; was as logical as 1,2,3. It simply followed, that anything negative could be applied to that basic belief.
There was therefore no surprise at the reaction to the visit of Haitian President Martelly by the Bahamian public. The seed had been sown and this was the first bud to show its head from the fertile soil. The election was essentially over. This was the absolutely worst thing that Mr. Ingraham could have done but he didn’t stop there. He salted the wound with the stories of giving free land to Haitians in the Mackey Yard controversy and then proceeded to give an unknown number of citizenships to Haitians.
Ironically, this was apparently his key strategy. Mr. Ingraham apparently convinced himself that thousands of Haitian votes could win an election for him and his entire “Papa” theme was to attract them and guarantee that result. He therefore actually made it impossible for the PLP to lose given its theme. There could not possibly be anything more egregious to the average Bahamian than the notion that you would take their country away from them and give it to another. Not just any people but a people they essentially considered inferior interlopers who, in their view, were already getting too much.
Again, the PLP didn’t have to say any of this. It was already in the minds of Bahamians.
This strategy didn’t take into account another social fundamental. Haitians realize they have to work and live with Bahamians. Who was going to give them jobs, teach their children, live as neighbours if they turned against Bahamians and swung an election against their wishes? If there is anything Haitians have learned in their many years of toil it is survival. Again, no one had to sell this idea. It was already in the minds of Haitians.
The way to get the average Bahamian interested in a topic; any topic, is to tell him or her that it’s a secret. Therefore, Mr. Ingraham again fertilized the budding plant of conspiracy by refusing to disclose the number of citizenships being given to Haitians. He thus made it possible for that number to be thousands and even tens of thousands in the minds of Bahamians. Again, the PLP didn’t have to lift a finger or say a word; Just continuously ask the question and the minds of the people would do the rest.
None of this might have been half as effective if the economic situation was not so bad and so broad. Things were as bad in Port New Providence where the worry was about a failing business as it was in Nassau village, Regency Park , Sunset Park and Miller’s Heights where there was worry about a putting food on the table or a delinquent mortgage, but equally so in Westward Villas where University tuition may be a more prominent worry. The same concerns were repeated in every family island.
The election would have been a tough one for the FNM in any event but Mr. Ingraham’s strategy played into the hands of the PLP and ignored every reality on the ground. He may not have had much of a choice under the circumstances.
So all the hoopla of the rallies, T-shirts, Red Splash and Gold Rush was a nice carnival put on by the political parties and the people were invited, so they came. The election was decided as soon as the campaign started based on the seeds that had been sown in the minds of the people. This is borne out by the absence of T-shirt wearers, particularly FNM red shirts, on election day. Where did the tens of thousands from Red Splash disappear to? It appears they too had made up their minds long before election day.
June 22, 2012
The views expressed are those of the author.
Thanks Ken.
You suggest that Mr. Ingraham invited the president of Haiti here. Do you have evidence of that?
Also, what about the thousands of registered voters that did not vote? If memory serves, that number was more than the total of people voting for the DNA.
So in a nutshell, your analysis appears to suggest the FNM lost the election, the PLP did not win it?
Perhaps where the FNM really lost the election was in the youth vote and among first time voters.. Some say that three out five voters under the age of thirty voted for the PLP.. That is about sixty percent which gave a real edge to the PLP.. These new voters are the future of the Bahamas who expressed real concerns and even discontent with the way the FNM was running the country.. Now they will learn it will be just more of the same only with a cast of new but well-known characters..
Agreed Tadewinds.
They can only run on for so long about Mr. Ingraham because they have to face the music of the problems the country faces in the wake of a continued bad world economy.
Maybe the old cliche that a leopard doesn’t change its spots is appropriate?
They need to shut up & govern,period.
Dennis did you say govern?? When a government governs it is supposed to be in the National Interest or what is the best interest of the nation as a whole.. So far we have seen only partisan politics as usual with no hope for national purpose.. We are on a path of out-of-control spending which will bankrupt our nation and destroy our national sovereignty.. The debt clock keeps running but no one can tell time.. Does anyone care; I wonder..
Tradewinds,you are so right on the money
The thousands who did not vote are normal lack of turn out or people who were “encouraged” not to vote in my opinion, sans evidence or real analysis. This seems to not be unusual. I don’t know how many that actually was with some saying 17,000 and some as high as 40,000. Most interesting is the number of people who reportedly never picked up their voters cards. I think that may be new and is worthy of investigation. Bahamians are terminally subjective in my view and as such are more likely to vote against somethingthan for anything.
Thanks Ken.
As my father always said, he never voted “FOR” anything in his life. He always voted against what he considered the least worthwhile party.
Another person pointed out that your analysis is not complete as it does not mention the DNA?